In the first half of this year, China’s petroleum and chemical industries continued to maintain a good momentum of development. Production and sales of major products were booming, prices rose steadily, exports grew strongly, economic efficiency continued to improve, and the quality of economic operations continued to increase. However, there are also many problems and deficiencies in the economic operation. For example, the increase in investment in fixed assets remains high; the production capacity of high-energy-consuming and high-pollution products grows too fast, the development and promotion of energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies are insufficient, and the export of chemical products suffers from "growing troubles." To deal with foreign technical barriers; in the face of the impact of rising oil prices.
The increase in investment is high
The increase in investment in fixed assets in the petroleum and chemical industries has been maintained at more than 30% for three consecutive years, and the rate of increase has remained above 25% for the period from January to May this year. Among them, the areas with higher growth rates are Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Anhui, Fujian, Hubei, Sichuan, Shaanxi, and Ningxia. Especially in regions with rich energy and resources in the central and western regions, there are many projects such as planning and construction of large-scale coal chemical industry, chlor-alkali, calcium carbide, PVC, synthetic ammonia, etc., which intensify the pressure on energy, resources, and the environment, and has led to overcapacity in some industries.
In 2007, the domestic crude oil and refined oil markets were open to the world, changing the country's unified allocation of oil resources and concentrated oil product wholesale. If it is relying solely on the original oil market management methods and management mechanisms, it is already difficult to adapt to the needs of the new situation. It is necessary to reform the existing oil circulation system, gradually improve the institutional mechanisms for the circulation of oil products, and improve the allocation and use of oil resources. s efficiency. Therefore, China urgently needs to establish a petroleum commercial reserve, guarantee the security of supply in the oil market, continue to improve the development plan for the oil circulation industry, further strengthen market supervision and industry guidance, and ensure stable supply in the domestic market.
Outdated growth in production capacity Energy saving and emission reduction system needs to be improved
From January to May of this year, high-energy-consuming products are characterized by high production growth, high investment growth, and high export growth “three highs.†The main reason is that these high energy-consuming products have relatively low barriers to entry, and investment production is relatively easy. Some have already Become the pillar of the local economy. Industry insiders believe that there is a process for industrial adjustment. Despite the country's restrictions and compression measures, market demand is strong. At present, there is no alternative product to replace the high energy-consuming products, which is also the reason for the “three highs†of high energy-consuming products.
At present, the statistical methods for energy consumption and production and discharge of pollutants in the industry are not perfect. The existing statistics are difficult to truly reflect the actual situation in the industry. The establishment of statistical systems, standards systems and regulatory systems for energy conservation and emission reduction also requires many hardships. jobs. In addition, the statistics and management team for energy conservation and emission reduction are very weak. Many companies do not have full-time energy and environmental management personnel.
The promotion of energy conservation and emission reduction needs technical support. How to accelerate the development of energy conservation and emission reduction technologies, and optimize and integrate the industry's energy conservation and emission reduction technologies are urgently needed to be solved. In addition, for those industries that already have mature energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies, the state has also shown insufficient efforts in promoting technology and setting up special support.
Export suffers from "growing troubles" Tariff adjustment affects some sub-sectors
At present, the proportion of low-value-added chemical products in China is high, and the market environment is deteriorating. Among them, the proportion of petrochemical products, organic chemical products, and high-grade new products is too low, while the proportion of high-consumption, rough-processing, and low-value-added products is high, the refined rate of chemical products is only 40%, and that of developed countries is 65%. .
Downstream companies are small in scale and mainly concentrated in the petrochemical raw material products field. The overwhelming majority of products have a prominent phenomenon of low-level redundant construction, leading to long-term serious oversupply of some varieties of the domestic market. As more and more companies gain the right to import and export independently, it also causes excessive domestic competition to trigger foreign trade, resulting in phenomena of bullishness, decentralization, shoddy products, and frequent use of price competition. At the same time, China's petrochemical products are mainly exported to Asia and the European Union. The export market is too concentrated and the competition is becoming increasingly fierce, leading to an increase in external business risks.
In the past two years, the entire petrochemical and chemical industry experienced a climax of capacity expansion, resulting in a pattern of excess capacity. For example, the overall price trend of inorganic chemical products, chemical fertilizers, and rubber auxiliaries has been sluggish, and the profitability of enterprises has declined. Due to the limited capacity of the domestic market, export pressure has increased.
In addition, China’s anti-dumping investigations and anti-dumping measures have been ranked first in the world for 11 consecutive years, and the petrochemical industry is the hardest-hit area in anti-dumping. Among them, polystyrene, nitrite, citric acid and other chemical products suffered the most anti-dumping investigations.
At the same time, starting from July 1 this year, the state adjusted its export tax rebates, levied some export tariffs on certain products, and cancelled certain industries' processing trade policies, which had a greater impact on fertilizers, pesticides, dyes, and two alkalis.
At present, the urea market is oversupply, and exports are strictly limited. In particular, when the off-season is used, an export tariff of 15% is also imposed, which will cause domestic oversupply and lower prices, which is not conducive to the development of the urea industry. At the same time, the adjustment of export tax rebates by the state will enable the soda ash industry that exports to Southeast Asia to withdraw from the market due to the decline in competitiveness and increase the sales pressure in the domestic market.
In addition, according to the total export delivery value of the member companies of the Rubber Industry Association in 2006, after adjustment of the export tax rebate rate, the industry’s profits will be reduced by at least 3 billion yuan, and there will be industry losses.
The increase in investment is high
The increase in investment in fixed assets in the petroleum and chemical industries has been maintained at more than 30% for three consecutive years, and the rate of increase has remained above 25% for the period from January to May this year. Among them, the areas with higher growth rates are Hebei, Inner Mongolia, Anhui, Fujian, Hubei, Sichuan, Shaanxi, and Ningxia. Especially in regions with rich energy and resources in the central and western regions, there are many projects such as planning and construction of large-scale coal chemical industry, chlor-alkali, calcium carbide, PVC, synthetic ammonia, etc., which intensify the pressure on energy, resources, and the environment, and has led to overcapacity in some industries.
In 2007, the domestic crude oil and refined oil markets were open to the world, changing the country's unified allocation of oil resources and concentrated oil product wholesale. If it is relying solely on the original oil market management methods and management mechanisms, it is already difficult to adapt to the needs of the new situation. It is necessary to reform the existing oil circulation system, gradually improve the institutional mechanisms for the circulation of oil products, and improve the allocation and use of oil resources. s efficiency. Therefore, China urgently needs to establish a petroleum commercial reserve, guarantee the security of supply in the oil market, continue to improve the development plan for the oil circulation industry, further strengthen market supervision and industry guidance, and ensure stable supply in the domestic market.
Outdated growth in production capacity Energy saving and emission reduction system needs to be improved
From January to May of this year, high-energy-consuming products are characterized by high production growth, high investment growth, and high export growth “three highs.†The main reason is that these high energy-consuming products have relatively low barriers to entry, and investment production is relatively easy. Some have already Become the pillar of the local economy. Industry insiders believe that there is a process for industrial adjustment. Despite the country's restrictions and compression measures, market demand is strong. At present, there is no alternative product to replace the high energy-consuming products, which is also the reason for the “three highs†of high energy-consuming products.
At present, the statistical methods for energy consumption and production and discharge of pollutants in the industry are not perfect. The existing statistics are difficult to truly reflect the actual situation in the industry. The establishment of statistical systems, standards systems and regulatory systems for energy conservation and emission reduction also requires many hardships. jobs. In addition, the statistics and management team for energy conservation and emission reduction are very weak. Many companies do not have full-time energy and environmental management personnel.
The promotion of energy conservation and emission reduction needs technical support. How to accelerate the development of energy conservation and emission reduction technologies, and optimize and integrate the industry's energy conservation and emission reduction technologies are urgently needed to be solved. In addition, for those industries that already have mature energy-saving and emission-reduction technologies, the state has also shown insufficient efforts in promoting technology and setting up special support.
Export suffers from "growing troubles" Tariff adjustment affects some sub-sectors
At present, the proportion of low-value-added chemical products in China is high, and the market environment is deteriorating. Among them, the proportion of petrochemical products, organic chemical products, and high-grade new products is too low, while the proportion of high-consumption, rough-processing, and low-value-added products is high, the refined rate of chemical products is only 40%, and that of developed countries is 65%. .
Downstream companies are small in scale and mainly concentrated in the petrochemical raw material products field. The overwhelming majority of products have a prominent phenomenon of low-level redundant construction, leading to long-term serious oversupply of some varieties of the domestic market. As more and more companies gain the right to import and export independently, it also causes excessive domestic competition to trigger foreign trade, resulting in phenomena of bullishness, decentralization, shoddy products, and frequent use of price competition. At the same time, China's petrochemical products are mainly exported to Asia and the European Union. The export market is too concentrated and the competition is becoming increasingly fierce, leading to an increase in external business risks.
In the past two years, the entire petrochemical and chemical industry experienced a climax of capacity expansion, resulting in a pattern of excess capacity. For example, the overall price trend of inorganic chemical products, chemical fertilizers, and rubber auxiliaries has been sluggish, and the profitability of enterprises has declined. Due to the limited capacity of the domestic market, export pressure has increased.
In addition, China’s anti-dumping investigations and anti-dumping measures have been ranked first in the world for 11 consecutive years, and the petrochemical industry is the hardest-hit area in anti-dumping. Among them, polystyrene, nitrite, citric acid and other chemical products suffered the most anti-dumping investigations.
At the same time, starting from July 1 this year, the state adjusted its export tax rebates, levied some export tariffs on certain products, and cancelled certain industries' processing trade policies, which had a greater impact on fertilizers, pesticides, dyes, and two alkalis.
At present, the urea market is oversupply, and exports are strictly limited. In particular, when the off-season is used, an export tariff of 15% is also imposed, which will cause domestic oversupply and lower prices, which is not conducive to the development of the urea industry. At the same time, the adjustment of export tax rebates by the state will enable the soda ash industry that exports to Southeast Asia to withdraw from the market due to the decline in competitiveness and increase the sales pressure in the domestic market.
In addition, according to the total export delivery value of the member companies of the Rubber Industry Association in 2006, after adjustment of the export tax rebate rate, the industry’s profits will be reduced by at least 3 billion yuan, and there will be industry losses.
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