The reporter learned from the China Synthetic Rubber Industry Association on January 28th that under the rapid development of rubber processing industry represented by tires in China, in 2007 the production and sales of synthetic rubber industry was booming and all products were presented to the seller’s market. Looking ahead to the market in 2008, General Manager Qi Runtong of the Synthetic Glue Association said that this year is the first peak production year for the “Eleventh Five-Year†synthetic rubber plant. The annual increase in synthetic rubber production capacity will exceed 400,000 tons, and the country’s total production capacity will expand to 200. More than 10,000 tons. Qi Runtong emphasized that in the case that the supply of butadiene cannot be significantly increased, the production of a large quantity of synthetic rubber equipment will aggravate the tight supply of raw material butadiene; at the same time, the domestic market needs an adaptation process for the products of the newly-added synthetic rubber devices. Plastic related production enterprises should carry out market development in advance.
According to the statistics of the China Synthetic Rubber Industry Association, in 2007, the national output of synthetic rubber was 1.633 million tons (except the isoprene rubber and the SBB thermoplastic rubber SBS), which was an increase of 174,000 tons from the previous year, an increase of 11.9%. Compared with the previous year, with the exception of a butyl rubber unit that was overhauled and the production was reduced by 5.4%, the output of other rubber species increased. Among them, the total output of styrene-butadiene rubber and butadiene rubber increased by 155,000 tons, accounting for 89% of the total output increase. In 2007, the output of each major rubber seed was: 710 metric tons of styrene-butadiene rubber (including 54,000 tons of polybutadiene-butadiene-styrene glue), an increase of 20.7%; butadiene rubber production of 481,000 tons, an increase of 7.9%; SBS production of 302,000 Ton, an increase of 4.4%; neoprene production 52,000 tons, an increase of 7.7%; nitrile rubber production 40,000 tons, an increase of 15.4%; ethylene propylene rubber production 20,000 tons, an increase of 0.5%; butyl rubber production 37,000 tons.
Driven by the high price of natural rubber and driven by market demand, the demand for synthetic rubber in the downstream industries increased sharply in 2007, especially the demand for domestically produced styrene-butadiene rubber and butadiene rubber with large production capacity and better supply security conditions. According to estimates by the Synthetic Rubber Association, the consumption of synthetic rubber in the country in 2007 was 2.96 million tons, an increase of 280,000 tons over the previous year. Among them, the consumption of seven basic rubber species was 2.21 million tons, an increase of 315,000 tons; the consumption of styrene-butadiene rubber, butadiene rubber and SBS was 940,000 tons, 686,000 tons and 470,000 tons respectively, which was an increase over the previous year. 120,000 tons, 106,000 tons and 0.7 tons. Synthetic rubber is still in short supply in the case of higher output growth.
According to analysis by the Synthetic Rubber Association, in 2008 China's synthetic rubber market will face the following situation:
Entering the peak period of production in 2008, the SBR plant in Lanzhou, Gansu and Huizhou, Guangdong, the SEBS (hydrogenated SBS) and butadiene rubber plant in Nantong, Jiangsu Province will be completed and put into production, together with the expansion of Maoming SBS and Neoprene of Shanxi, New equipment such as Jilin ethylene propylene rubber will add more than 400,000 tons of synthetic rubber equipment to China this year, and the total capacity of synthetic rubber equipment in China will exceed 2 million tons by the end of the year, providing downstream users with more opportunities to choose domestic synthetic rubber.
However, due to capacity constraints, this year domestic butyl rubber, ethylene propylene rubber, nitrile rubber, neoprene, isoprene glue will still be the market's shortage of products.
Market digestion process Qi Runtong said that this year's SBR and SBS's new production capacity is around 150,000 tons, which may be higher than the domestic market's ability to digest, and short-term product supply capacity may be too large. Domestic rubber processing companies will have an adaptation process for the use of different grades of synthetic rubber produced by different companies. It does not mean that the production capacity has gone up and that they can immediately replace imported products. He believes that in the short term, the market has a process of digesting so many increments of synthetic rubber. To this end, he suggested that synthetic rubber production enterprises should actively take measures to import products on the one hand to do alternative work, on the other hand to actively seek export channels, establish an export mechanism as soon as possible, the Chinese synthetic rubber products to the world.
The supply of raw materials will be tight Because there is no significant increase in ethylene capacity during the year, domestic butadiene supply will only slightly increase from 2007. A large number of new synthetic rubber units will be put into operation, which will tighten the supply of butadiene and prices may continue to be firm.
According to reports, with the commissioning of a new 100,000-ton/year styrene-butadiene rubber plant at Nanjing Yangzi Petrochemical Jinpu Rubber Co., Ltd. in June 2007, the supply and demand balance of domestic butadiene consumption has changed. In the second half of last year, butadiene imports started to increase, and market prices gradually recovered. According to estimates by the Synthetic Rubber Association, domestic production of butadiene was 1.36 million tons in 2007, and net imports increased from 62,000 tons in 2006 to 86,000 tons in 2007. At the same time, the market price of butadiene dropped from the high level at the beginning of 2007 to the bottom of the middle of the year, and then rebounded to a new high at the end of the year.
Due to the new synthetic rubber plant that was put into operation in 2008, the butadiene resources that were designed and matched at the initial stage of the project have basically entered the consumer market. When the new plant was put into operation, it did not increase too much butadiene resources. Qi Runtong believes that the domestic di Imports of ene will continue to rise, and market prices will continue to strengthen.
In 2007, the output of major synthetic rubber production enterprises and output of product enterprises (10,000 tons) The main products Yanshan Petrochemical 25.90 Butadiene rubber, SBS, Butyl rubber Shenhua Chemicals 21.36 Butylbenzene rubber Qilu Petrochemical 21.26 Butadiene rubber, SBR High Qiaoqiao Petrochemical 18.40 butadiene rubber, soluble polybutadiene-butadiene rubber Jilin Petrochemical 18.27 SBR, ethylene propylene rubber Baling Petrochemical 17.50 SBS, butadiene rubber
According to the statistics of the China Synthetic Rubber Industry Association, in 2007, the national output of synthetic rubber was 1.633 million tons (except the isoprene rubber and the SBB thermoplastic rubber SBS), which was an increase of 174,000 tons from the previous year, an increase of 11.9%. Compared with the previous year, with the exception of a butyl rubber unit that was overhauled and the production was reduced by 5.4%, the output of other rubber species increased. Among them, the total output of styrene-butadiene rubber and butadiene rubber increased by 155,000 tons, accounting for 89% of the total output increase. In 2007, the output of each major rubber seed was: 710 metric tons of styrene-butadiene rubber (including 54,000 tons of polybutadiene-butadiene-styrene glue), an increase of 20.7%; butadiene rubber production of 481,000 tons, an increase of 7.9%; SBS production of 302,000 Ton, an increase of 4.4%; neoprene production 52,000 tons, an increase of 7.7%; nitrile rubber production 40,000 tons, an increase of 15.4%; ethylene propylene rubber production 20,000 tons, an increase of 0.5%; butyl rubber production 37,000 tons.
Driven by the high price of natural rubber and driven by market demand, the demand for synthetic rubber in the downstream industries increased sharply in 2007, especially the demand for domestically produced styrene-butadiene rubber and butadiene rubber with large production capacity and better supply security conditions. According to estimates by the Synthetic Rubber Association, the consumption of synthetic rubber in the country in 2007 was 2.96 million tons, an increase of 280,000 tons over the previous year. Among them, the consumption of seven basic rubber species was 2.21 million tons, an increase of 315,000 tons; the consumption of styrene-butadiene rubber, butadiene rubber and SBS was 940,000 tons, 686,000 tons and 470,000 tons respectively, which was an increase over the previous year. 120,000 tons, 106,000 tons and 0.7 tons. Synthetic rubber is still in short supply in the case of higher output growth.
According to analysis by the Synthetic Rubber Association, in 2008 China's synthetic rubber market will face the following situation:
Entering the peak period of production in 2008, the SBR plant in Lanzhou, Gansu and Huizhou, Guangdong, the SEBS (hydrogenated SBS) and butadiene rubber plant in Nantong, Jiangsu Province will be completed and put into production, together with the expansion of Maoming SBS and Neoprene of Shanxi, New equipment such as Jilin ethylene propylene rubber will add more than 400,000 tons of synthetic rubber equipment to China this year, and the total capacity of synthetic rubber equipment in China will exceed 2 million tons by the end of the year, providing downstream users with more opportunities to choose domestic synthetic rubber.
However, due to capacity constraints, this year domestic butyl rubber, ethylene propylene rubber, nitrile rubber, neoprene, isoprene glue will still be the market's shortage of products.
Market digestion process Qi Runtong said that this year's SBR and SBS's new production capacity is around 150,000 tons, which may be higher than the domestic market's ability to digest, and short-term product supply capacity may be too large. Domestic rubber processing companies will have an adaptation process for the use of different grades of synthetic rubber produced by different companies. It does not mean that the production capacity has gone up and that they can immediately replace imported products. He believes that in the short term, the market has a process of digesting so many increments of synthetic rubber. To this end, he suggested that synthetic rubber production enterprises should actively take measures to import products on the one hand to do alternative work, on the other hand to actively seek export channels, establish an export mechanism as soon as possible, the Chinese synthetic rubber products to the world.
The supply of raw materials will be tight Because there is no significant increase in ethylene capacity during the year, domestic butadiene supply will only slightly increase from 2007. A large number of new synthetic rubber units will be put into operation, which will tighten the supply of butadiene and prices may continue to be firm.
According to reports, with the commissioning of a new 100,000-ton/year styrene-butadiene rubber plant at Nanjing Yangzi Petrochemical Jinpu Rubber Co., Ltd. in June 2007, the supply and demand balance of domestic butadiene consumption has changed. In the second half of last year, butadiene imports started to increase, and market prices gradually recovered. According to estimates by the Synthetic Rubber Association, domestic production of butadiene was 1.36 million tons in 2007, and net imports increased from 62,000 tons in 2006 to 86,000 tons in 2007. At the same time, the market price of butadiene dropped from the high level at the beginning of 2007 to the bottom of the middle of the year, and then rebounded to a new high at the end of the year.
Due to the new synthetic rubber plant that was put into operation in 2008, the butadiene resources that were designed and matched at the initial stage of the project have basically entered the consumer market. When the new plant was put into operation, it did not increase too much butadiene resources. Qi Runtong believes that the domestic di Imports of ene will continue to rise, and market prices will continue to strengthen.
In 2007, the output of major synthetic rubber production enterprises and output of product enterprises (10,000 tons) The main products Yanshan Petrochemical 25.90 Butadiene rubber, SBS, Butyl rubber Shenhua Chemicals 21.36 Butylbenzene rubber Qilu Petrochemical 21.26 Butadiene rubber, SBR High Qiaoqiao Petrochemical 18.40 butadiene rubber, soluble polybutadiene-butadiene rubber Jilin Petrochemical 18.27 SBR, ethylene propylene rubber Baling Petrochemical 17.50 SBS, butadiene rubber
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