Affected by the continuous decline of domestic GDP and the growth of economic growth in the middle and low-speed, the pace of integration and transformation and upgrading of domestic special-purpose automobile enterprises has been accelerating. The whole industry has shown the development trend of group, system, intelligent manufacturing and green manufacturing. A huge process of change.
Semi-trailer annual production decline for the first time
In 2019, the semi-trailer market was equipped with semi-trailer equipment disc brakes (Hazardous Chemical Vehicles on January 1, 2019, slabs and sluices on January 1, 2020), and emission upgrades (National III elimination, National Six implementation in advance) ), the strengthening of over-limit overload control, the introduction of environmental protection inspectors, the introduction of safety technical conditions for trucks, the introduction of the three-year action plan for the adjustment of transport structure, the continuous implementation of the transportation of vehicles, and the introduction of policies for the administration of motor vehicle products are expected. Domestic trailers fell by about 22%. Logistics trailers, engineering trailers, and coupes will all experience different degrees of decline. However, due to the impact of GB7258-2017 policy, there will be a short-term recovery in the second half of this year.
GB7258-2017
According to the requirements of GB7258-2017, from January 1, 2020, the three-axis fence type and warehouse-type semi-trailer should be equipped with disc brakes. At the same time, three-axis slab-type and warehouse-grid semi-trailers with a total mass of more than 12,000 kg should be equipped with air suspension.
Changes in regulations will directly poke the market and bring the most direct impact. In 2018, the slab-type and warehouse-type semi-trailers accounted for 30% of the total output of China's semi-trailers, and the warehouse-type semi-trailers have long been the largest production of semi-trailers in China. It is estimated that if these two types of relatively low-priced models are forced to be equipped with components such as disc brakes and air suspension, the purchase cost per vehicle will increase by about 40,000 to 50,000, which is no longer competitive.
According to market research results of the owner's intention to prepare for the car, 20% of the owners said that they would choose to reserve the vehicle in advance due to the increase of 4 to 50,000 yuan per disc brake and air suspension price. . It is expected that before the official implementation of the standard in 2020, users will have a wave of pre-car purchases, and the market will usher in a market.
Van semi-trailer will become a new boom
However, we should not place too much emphasis on this final feast, but should take a long-term view. Some experts predict that after the implementation of the new regulations, the traditional fence car and warehouse truck will gradually be transformed into vans. Affected by the GB7258-2017 policy, the customer's purchase cost will increase, which will lead to rapid integration with high-end vans, realizing industrial transformation and upgrading, and the increase in cost will play a key role in customer purchase choice. The van semi-trailer will become the future logistics. The mainstream of transport vehicles. In addition, logistics trailers will drop by about 18%, but with the rise of large-board vehicles, super-large non-standard containers, and the rise of high-end logistics such as express express, more efficient, lighter, and more in line with national standards and regulations. Transport vehicles will replace these "big road goods" and become the main model of China's future transportation industry.
To this end, enterprises must actively prepare for the changes in the future market, continuously increase investment in technology research and development, and actively learn the van models of mature markets in Europe and the United States, in order to seize the opportunity in the new semi-trailer market, and usher in a harvest. A very rich year.
Reading volume: Source: Author trailer market: cold autumnDurability, Elastomer , components,Tactile Feedback,Compression
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