In November 2011, heavy-duty trucks achieved sales of 56,070 vehicles (including non-integrated vehicles and semi-trailer tractors), a decrease of 1.6% from the previous month and a year-on-year decrease of 30.59%. The cumulative sales volume reached 824512 units, a cumulative decline of 12.46%, and the decline was the highest in the truck market. . With the unclear macroeconomic conditions, gradual withdrawal of stimulus policies, and various unfavorable factors such as “super cure†and “fuel limit value standardsâ€, the sales volume of the domestic heavy truck market has continued to decline since February of this year, and the accumulated year-on-year decline has continued to expand. . After undergoing rapid development in previous years, the growth rate of the heavy-duty truck market has slowed down this year, and structural adjustments have begun to show.
It is a foregone conclusion that the annual sales decrease. For the segmented market-heavy card market, industry insiders said: "This year, heavy truck sales or stop at 900,000 vehicles, down 11% year-on-year." In the recent annual enterprise conference and events, reporters and CEOs of companies Related issues were communicated.
Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle: It is expected that the sales volume of heavy-duty trucks for the whole year will be flat this year.
Huang Gang, general manager of Dongfeng Commercial Vehicles, stated that after 2010, the country’s economy began to enter the adjustment period, and the growth rate of GDP began to slow down. In 2011, the impact of the country’s macroeconomic regulation and the impact of the subprime mortgage crisis in Europe, GDP from 2010 The 10.3 dropped to 9.2 this year. In the current international and domestic economic environment, domestic demand for heavy trucks will not increase much in this year compared to this year. It is expected that the sales volume for the whole year will be the same as this year and will hover around 850,000. In terms of product structure, the dump truck market will increase this year, and the tractor market will also rebound.
Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Co., Ltd. establishes and promotes a "customer-centered" "iron-triangle" mechanism, and cooperates with the research, development, procurement, manufacturing, and service systems of business enterprises to achieve full-value-chain synergy, and forms a unique marketing model for Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Co., Ltd. Supported the steady and steady growth of the company's strategic commodities. And the successful implementation of the transition from providing products to users to provide customers with the best solution providers. After years of market cultivation, Dongfeng Tianlong has gained the trust and recognition of end-users. In 2011, sales will reach 100,000 units.
SAIC Iveco Hongyan: Heavy truck sales will be affected by the macro economy next year
According to Yu Qionggen, executive director of marketing at SAIC Iveco Hongyan Commercial Vehicles Co., Ltd., from the signals released by the Central Economic Work Conference, it is steady to make progress and emphasis on the word “stabilityâ€, which is the main tone of the conference. The Central Economic Work Conference finalized GDP growth rate of "8" next year. Compared with this year, it only has a more than one percentage point drop, but it will undoubtedly bring a big blow to heavy-duty markets that rely heavily on macroeconomic growth.
He predicts that tractor sales will rebound in the next year, the total amount of dump trucks will not have a big drop, and trucks will tend to develop in China Card. The sales of trucks in the heavy truck sector will decline next year, and the proportion of heavy truck sales will decline. "Red Rock expects to sell nearly 32,000 heavy trucks this year (invoicing count), an increase of more than 4 percentage points over the same period last year. The market situation in the first half of 2012 will be worse than the first half of this year, but will be more in the second half of next year than in the second half of this year. Well, for the whole year, heavy truck sales in 2012 will decline slightly year-on-year, with total sales of only 850,000 vehicles.
Shaanxi Auto heavy truck: heavy vehicles in 2012 continued to decline compared to 2011 and is expected to be around 800,000 units.
Chairman of the Board and CEO of Weichai Power and Tan Xuguang, Chairman of Shaanxi Heavy-Duty Truck Co., Ltd. stated that: In 2011, China's commercial vehicle industry started to go from high to high in the first half of the year, and dropped sharply in the second half of the year, especially heavy trucks. This year's year-on-year decrease of 15% compared with last year. It is estimated that the annual sales volume will be between 850,000 and 870,000 units. Sales of 100,000 heavy trucks from Shaanxi Heavy Duty Truck are not easy to come by. Heavy vehicles in 2012 continued to decline compared to 2011, and are expected to be around 800,000 units.
Yuan Hongming, deputy general manager of Shaanxi Heavy Duty Truck, said: It is expected that Shaanxi Automobile Group will have a total sales volume of 120,000 units and the market share will increase by 2.95 percentage points. Among them, the sales of Shaanxi Heavy Duty Truck reached 100,000 units, and its market share increased by 1.53%. In analysing the phenomenon, the two stressed that: After a period of ten years of prosperity in our country, the state gradually controls the economy, and the overall economy has entered a period of adjustment, which has affected the development of the logistics industry to a certain extent; the real estate "State of the eight" and logistics" The eight related policies of the State directly affect the demand for trucks in the construction and decoration industry. The 2012 Central Economic Conference clearly stated that the real estate policy remains unchanged and basically establishes continuity in our policies. This has a huge impact on the development of our logistics industry. Therefore, there will be more uncertainty in 2011 than in 2011.
China National Heavy Duty Truck: The heavy-duty truck market as a whole will not experience a significant decline in 2012
Cai Dong, president of China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, said: In 2012, the heavy-duty truck market as a whole will not experience a sharp decline. In 2012, with the bank reserve ratio lowered, although the economy is slowing down, the overall speed is still developing; in 2009, 4 trillion yuan Investment will also have a closing operation in 2012; projects such as water conservancy projects, new rural construction and poverty alleviation projects will start construction in 2012; in particular, the 2012 young card market will have a new round of growth. China National Heavy Duty Truck's production and sales target in 2012 is to ensure the production and sales of 240,000 complete vehicles, including 165,000 heavy trucks.
In addition, Meng Xianghui, deputy general manager of FAW Jiefang Automobile Sales Co., Ltd.: This year's sales volume is expected to reach around 930,000 units. It will be the same next year and this year, especially in the first quarter. Wang Shihong, general manager of Beiben Heavy Duty Truck, is expected to decline by 10% next year and the product market structure will be adjusted.
In the analysis of "heads", all of you mentioned the impact of this year's industry policy on the truck industry. The fact that the country did not come out this year is conducive to the truck industry policy; not only that, the successive introduction of industrial regulatory policies has affected truck sales. On January 27 this year, the Technical Service Center of China Aircraft Engine issued the "Circular on the rectification and clearance of internal products". Mandatory requirements Trucks and buses must be equipped with ABS and post-verification barriers. On March 1st, the new "Measures for the Inspection and Supervision of Fuel Consumption for Road Transport Vehicles" began implementation, and heavy-duty vehicles must be tested before they can be put into operation. The cost of 20,000 yuan for bicycles makes it difficult for users and businesses to bear. On July 1, the implementation of the “Regulations on the Protection of Highway Safety†had a major impact on the sales volume, structure, freight volume, and freight price of the heavy truck industry. The implementation of different policies in various areas has brought varying degrees of trouble to logistics companies and users. In October, the Ministry of Public Security launched a special campaign to centralize and rectify the “three-plus-one-fatigue†campaign, which also affected the truck sales in the fourth quarter to some extent.
FAW Liberation: Overall sales of heavy trucks next year will remain unchanged this year. Sales will not be good in the first quarter.
Meng Xianghui, deputy general manager of FAW Jiefang Automobile Sales Co., Ltd., stated that sales this year are expected to reach around 930,000 units, and next year will be the same as this year. The first quarter in particular will not be too good. Our preliminary judgment is that the total sales volume of heavy trucks in the industry this year will be 1.15 million. Around, only heavy truck sales should be around 930,000, and heavy truck sales will continue to decline in the last two months.
For the heavy-duty truck market next year, we are not very optimistic. We expect it to be the same as this year. The best condition is that it will be the same as this year and will not grow, but it will not be too bad. In particular, sales should not be very good in the first quarter of next year. Because from the perspective of the country’s economic situation this year, the country is now facing problems such as the suppression of real estate and inflation control. By the second quarter of 2012, the situation may change, and growth may occur, because the 18th National Congress of the country must be convened and the leadership of the new team must be handed over. This is a judgment based on policy considerations.
Bei Ben Heavy Duty Truck: Expected to Decline by 10% Next Year
Wang Shihong, general manager of Beiben Heavy Gas, stated that the total sales volume of the heavy truck market is expected to be between 850,000 and 900,000 units this year. It may drop by 10% next year and the product market structure will change. So far, the real order of Bei Ben has reached 38,000 vehicles. The task of completing 40,000 vehicles this year should be no problem. The target for next year is 50,000 vehicles.
On the whole, the heavy truck market next year is not optimistic. However, China’s heavy-duty truck market cannot be compared with 10 years ago. Compared with 1 million vehicles last year, it dropped by 20%, there were 800,000 vehicles, a drop of 30%, and 700,000 vehicles. Market space is certainly there, the key is there is no suitable product? Without products, Beiben cannot support the development of the company. Therefore, Beiben must make great efforts to develop new products.
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